‹ All markets
Politics · Russia
Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire agreement by December 31?
12%Yes chance
Closes in 92d 21h
Live · updated just nowPrices now
- Yes12%
- No88%
Each winning share pays $1.00 CAD.
How it settles
Yes if, by 23:59 Eastern on 31 December 2026, a mutually agreed suspension of fighting between Russia and Ukraine is announced by both governments or confirmed by credible reporting (Reuters, AP, BBC). A one-sided or unilateral truce, or a local or humanitarian pause, is No.
- Shares
- 189.0
- Pays if Yes
- 189.07
- Fee (2%)
- 0.50
Patron opens soon. Trading starts with sign-up.