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Crime · Canada

Will Toronto have more car thefts in 2026 than in 2025?

70%Yes chance

Closes in 92d 21h

Live · updated just now

Prices now

  • Yes70%
  • No30%

Each winning share pays $1.00 CAD.

How it settles

Toronto Police Service Public Safety Data Portal, "Auto Theft Open Data" (data.torontopolice.on.ca): Yes if the number of records with REPORT_DATE in calendar year 2026 is greater than the number with REPORT_DATE in calendar year 2025, both counted on the first release that covers 31 December 2026. Patron archives that release; later revisions do not change the outcome. If no release covers 31 December 2026 by 31 March 2027, every position is refunded.

Shares
35.5
Pays if Yes
35.56
Fee (2%)
0.50
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