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Crime · Canada
Will Toronto have more car thefts in 2026 than in 2025?
70%Yes chance
Closes in 92d 21h
Live · updated just nowPrices now
- Yes70%
- No30%
Each winning share pays $1.00 CAD.
How it settles
Toronto Police Service Public Safety Data Portal, "Auto Theft Open Data" (data.torontopolice.on.ca): Yes if the number of records with REPORT_DATE in calendar year 2026 is greater than the number with REPORT_DATE in calendar year 2025, both counted on the first release that covers 31 December 2026. Patron archives that release; later revisions do not change the outcome. If no release covers 31 December 2026 by 31 March 2027, every position is refunded.
- Shares
- 35.5
- Pays if Yes
- 35.56
- Fee (2%)
- 0.50
Patron opens soon. Trading starts with sign-up.