‹ All markets

Crime · Canada

How many car thefts will Toronto Police report for October–December 2026?

30%2,100 – 2,300 chance

Closes in 92d 22h

Live · updated just now

Prices now

  • Under 1,90012%
  • 1,900 – 2,10022%
  • 2,100 – 2,30030%
  • 2,300 – 2,50022%
  • 2,500+14%

Each winning share pays $1.00 CAD.

How it settles

Toronto Police Service Public Safety Data Portal, "Auto Theft Open Data" (data.torontopolice.on.ca): the number of records with REPORT_DATE from 1 October 2026 to 31 December 2026 inclusive (Toronto time), on the first release that covers 31 December 2026. Patron archives that release; later revisions do not change the outcome. If no release covers 31 December 2026 by 31 March 2027, every position is refunded. Brackets include the lower bound and exclude the upper bound.

Shares
108.8
Pays if 2,300 – 2,500
108.83
Fee (2%)
0.50
Get started to trade

Patron opens soon. Trading starts with sign-up.